Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 2
PIS
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 4
PIS
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 4
REG
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 1
ARZ
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CTT
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 1
REG
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |