Pirin Razlog vs Perun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VDD
0 - 0
PIR
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PIR
5 - 0
FKV
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +4 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
PIR
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 1
BEP
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 2
PIR
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Perun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PEK
1 - 2
MIN
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VDD
0 - 0
PEK
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
PEK
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PEK
1 - 2
MES
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
FKV
2 - 1
PEK
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |