Piloñesa vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DPT
1 - 2
PCF
23%
25%
53%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 0
DPT
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
DPT
0 - 0
RIB
17%
22%
62%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
RTI
1 - 2
DPT
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
DPT
2 - 4
UPL
15%
23%
62%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PCF
1 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 0
SLA
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAR
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 1
SIE
16%
26%
58%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |