Pickering Town CFC vs Penrith AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pickering Town CFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
PIC
2 - 2
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
PIC
1 - 3
SCA
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 0
PIC
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
PIC
2 - 5
AFC
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PIC
1 - 2
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 3
CRO
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 8
CUM
8%
16%
76%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 7
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
CEL
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |