Picerno vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PIC
1 - 2
SSM
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BIS
1 - 0
PIC
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PIC
1 - 2
POM
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FON
3 - 2
PIC
62%
19%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PIC
2 - 2
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
FON
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 0
FRA
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
FRA
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POM
1 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 2
REA
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |