PHC Zebras vs St. Davids analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 4
PHC
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PHC
1 - 0
ROB
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PHC
6 - 2
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 5
PHC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PHC
3 - 0
DEV
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Davids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
STD
1 - 2
ROB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
STD
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STD
2 - 0
BOU
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
STD
0 - 4
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEV
4 - 1
STD
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |