Montenegro League - Play Offs Final
Global 3-3
Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2021 |
DEC
1 - 1
PET
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PET
0 - 2
ZET
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
JEZ
1 - 0
PET
39%
30%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PET
1 - 0
IKD
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BUD
0 - 2
PET
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
IGA
4 - 1
FKA
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 2
KOM
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
GRB
2 - 1
FKA
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 1
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |