Perun vs Mesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
FKV
2 - 1
PEK
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PEK
1 - 1
VEL
65%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
MES
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MES
5 - 2
FKN
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
HEB
3 - 2
MES
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
GER
2 - 1
MES
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
MES
1 - 0
BAN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |