Perugia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PRG
0 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 0
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
4 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 3
CAG
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACD
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |