Persib vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Persib
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BON
0 - 1
PER
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
SRI
4 - 1
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
PSP
1 - 0
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PER
3 - 0
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
ARE
3 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 1
ARE
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
ARE
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
ARE
1 - 0
MAD
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ARE
3 - 1
SEM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |