Pergolettese vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
PER
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
GRU
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 1
PER
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
REZ
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 0
PER
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
BUS
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 0
CRE
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 0
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ACL
1 - 1
CRE
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
CRE
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |