Pergolettese vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLG
0 - 2
PER
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
VBE
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 3
PER
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PER
3 - 1
SCA
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
GRU
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 5
PSM
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
CIS
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
CIS
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 2
PRO
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 2
OLG
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |