Pergocrema vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PER
2 - 2
SPE
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SPA
0 - 1
PER
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
BV5
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
PER
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 1
PER
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
REG
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAG
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
SPA
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
PAG
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 0
SAL
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |