PEPO vs Kiffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
7º
26
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PPJ
4 - 4
PEP
34%
20%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 0
ATL
39%
21%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PK3
2 - 1
PEP
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 4
JIP
35%
27%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PEP
6 - 1
FUT
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kiffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
FCR
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
GIR
1 - 0
FCK
74%
16%
9%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
NJS
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TPS
1 - 2
FCK
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
PKK
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |