Penybont vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
6 - 2
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
GOY
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
GOY
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
5 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
TAF
1 - 2
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WES
1 - 3
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
GOY
0 - 0
AFC
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 3
AFC
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
TON
1 - 0
AFC
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 0
GOY
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |