Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
30%
25%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 5
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
SGI
0 - 1
PEN
20%
23%
56%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
COS
0 - 2
TPE
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
COS
1 - 4
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 4
COS
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |