Penjara vs Felcra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penjara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FEL
2 - 1
PEN
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Felcra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
FEL
25%
23%
53%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FEL
2 - 1
PEN
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | 0 |