Peninsula Power vs Wynnum Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+154%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
3º
35
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RED
0 - 4
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 4
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
SUN
70%
16%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wynnum Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
WYN
3 - 5
GCK
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 7
QUE
11%
14%
75%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
WYN
68%
16%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 4
MOR
15%
17%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
WYN
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |