Peninsula Power vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRE
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
PEN
32%
22%
47%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 1
NWS
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 8 | 32 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLY
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 1
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LOG
3 - 2
CAP
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRI
4 - 1
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ADE
1 - 0
LOG
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 3
LOG
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GCK
2 - 2
LOG
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |