Peninsula Power vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 2
PEN
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 2
CAP
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
0 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
HPH
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 4
CAP
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
LOG
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 4
HPH
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 1
NPI
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |