Peninsula Power vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
EAS
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 3
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
QUE
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 2
MIT
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LOG
3 - 0
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LOG
3 - 2
ROC
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
IPS
2 - 3
LOG
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 0
LOG
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |