Peninsula Power vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 1
PEN
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
CAP
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 2
TAR
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
PEN
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
IPS
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IPS
4 - 1
TAR
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 1
IPS
81%
12%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 4
MIT
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 0
CAP
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |