Peniche vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
ADM
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
ALC
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |