Penafiel vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 1
OLH
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GON
2 - 1
PEN
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIT
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
VAR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIZ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 0
GON
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
VAR
2 - 1
SLB
14%
23%
64%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +2 |