Pelli Santacroce vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
PEL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 0
ROS
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
PEL
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 5
MEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
PEL
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 3
PIS
27%
28%
45%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
VIR
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
TUT
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |