Pelli Santacroce vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ROS
3 - 2
PEL
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAM
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MEZ
2 - 0
PEL
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 1
BAG
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 3
PEL
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
PIS
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TUT
2 - 2
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ROS
0 - 1
FOR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |