CPeinsa Cartagena FS vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CPeinsa Cartagena FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
CPE
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CPE
1 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
CPE
81%
13%
5%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAL
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 3
YEC
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MOR
8 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
MAZ
15%
22%
63%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |