PDVSA Gas vs UA Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PDVSA Gas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAS
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 5
GAS
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GAS
3 - 1
UCV
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 2
GAS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
GAS
1 - 1
ANG
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
ZUL
2 - 1
TRU
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
4 - 0
AME
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 1
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
2 - 3
UCL
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
TRU
3 - 2
ANG
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |