PD Castellarano vs Rovigo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PDC
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 2
ROS
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RIC
3 - 4
PDC
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 3
DPC
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PDC
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Rovigo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MPO
1 - 2
ROV
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ROV
2 - 2
USR
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEZ
1 - 1
ROV
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ROV
1 - 1
ROS
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GIU
3 - 0
ROV
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |