Pavlikeni vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
YPT
4 - 0
PAV
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAV
2 - 3
VIH
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
LOD
2 - 1
PAV
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAV
2 - 0
ETR
75%
15%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SEV
3 - 1
PAV
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 1
PAR
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ABV
3 - 0
LOK
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
LOK
1 - 3
FKD
42%
22%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PGA
1 - 2
LOK
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BDI
4 - 1
LOK
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |