Paulista vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VOT
1 - 0
PAU
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 1
PAU
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 4
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
VOT
52%
23%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
BAR
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
MIR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |