Paulinia vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
80.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulinia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
PFC
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TAB
1 - 1
PFC
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
PFC
3 - 1
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
PFC
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 2
ITA
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOA
85%
10%
4%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 3
VEL
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
FLA
7%
15%
78%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRÊ
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |