Paulhan/Pézenas vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
PAU
43%
24%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PAU
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 2
PAU
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
BLA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 3
CLE
8%
19%
73%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BLA
0 - 2
NIO
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 1
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |