Patronato vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
LIB
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
PAT
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
9DJ
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 3
PAT
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BHU
1 - 0
PAT
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
DES
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
DES
1 - 0
CAA
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
JAN
1 - 0
DES
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
DES
2 - 1
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
JUU
1 - 2
DES
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |