Patronato II vs Belgrano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
PAT
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 3
PAT
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 2
SLO
18%
23%
60%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAN
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 0
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |