Patrocinense vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
POA
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 1
PAT
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 0
PAT
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
BOA
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 2
PAT
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
URT
1 - 1
BOA
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 1
URT
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
URT
1 - 0
COI
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
POA
3 - 0
URT
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
URT
3 - 1
CAL
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |