Vaprus Pärnu vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
TUL
64%
19%
18%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
TUL
1 - 0
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RAK
4 - 2
PAR
24%
21%
55%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
FCP
86%
9%
5%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
KUR
1 - 3
RAK
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
KUR
1 - 5
RAK
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RAK
4 - 2
PAR
24%
21%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TUL
4 - 1
RAK
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
KIV
3 - 1
RAK
46%
21%
32%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |