Vaprus Pärnu vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2017 |
TIN
11 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
TUL
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEV
10%
18%
71%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
8 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 77 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
PAI
1 - 3
FLO
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SIK
2 - 0
PAI
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 0
PAI
42%
25%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 0
PAI
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PAI
1 - 1
TIN
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |