Paraná vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
43.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
OPE
51%
29%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
JUV
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
AVA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATM
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |