Paraná vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
63.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
4 - 2
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COT
4 - 2
PAR
75%
16%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIO
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
BOT
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOT
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 2
VOL
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |