Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
URU
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PAR
10%
18%
72%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
GRC
1 - 1
PAR
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 0
URU
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 3
CHI
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 2
CHI
17%
21%
61%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |