Pafos vs APEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
OMO
0 - 1
PAF
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AEZ
0 - 2
PAF
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PAF
1 - 0
ELP
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ENO
0 - 0
PAF
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ENP
0 - 1
PAF
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
APE
0 - 1
ELP
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
APE
2 - 1
ENP
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ENO
4 - 0
APE
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
KAR
3 - 0
APE
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
N&S
0 - 2
APE
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |