Papatam vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papatam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TAK
3 - 0
PAP
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VOO
1 - 4
PAP
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 6
VOO
24%
23%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAK
5 - 2
SFC
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 1
RES
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
TAM
6 - 4
SFC
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BOM
5 - 2
SFC
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |