Paone vs Thrasyvoulos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
PAO
1 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PAO
4 - 2
PAN
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
PAO
0 - 0
ILI
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ANA
1 - 1
PAO
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ENO
2 - 1
PAO
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thrasyvoulos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ETH
2 - 0
THR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
THR
1 - 1
ROD
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 3
THR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
THR
0 - 2
OLP
15%
24%
62%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PAN
4 - 1
THR
80%
15%
5%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |