PAOK vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAO
2 - 1
ERG
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
XAN
0 - 0
PAO
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
PAO
3 - 1
LEV
79%
16%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 3
PAO
11%
23%
66%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DOX
0 - 2
PAO
7%
22%
71%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 1
XAN
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LEV
0 - 2
AEK
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
AEK
0 - 0
DOX
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 1
AEK
6%
16%
79%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATR
1 - 0
AEK
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |