Pantigliate 1977 vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pantigliate 1977
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 3
PAN
10%
17%
73%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAN
3 - 0
USO
83%
11%
5%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
PAN
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
MON
16%
20%
65%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 1
PAN
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
USO
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MON
5 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 3
MED
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
EXC
85%
10%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOC
14%
19%
66%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |