Palmelense vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OGR
1 - 1
PAL
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
ARR
60%
21%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
CHC
55%
22%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMO
2 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
SES
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MCA
2 - 1
OMO
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
MCA
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
MCA
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 1
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UBA
2 - 0
MCA
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |