Palestrina vs Monterotondo Lupa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palestrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CIT
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANZ
0 - 2
PAL
38%
25%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAL
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monterotondo Lupa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 1
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
AST
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
CYN
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
SAL
15%
22%
63%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |