Paide vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAI
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
PAI
7 - 0
RAK
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TIN
1 - 0
PAI
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
PAI
1 - 3
SIK
31%
24%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PAI
3 - 1
TAM
69%
18%
14%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAI
27%
25%
49%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 5
SIK
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 5
TIN
16%
25%
59%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
3 - 0
PAR
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |