Pagham vs Broadbridge Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 4
LCO
56%
21%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STO
3 - 0
PAG
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
PAG
2 - 1
FLE
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 2
TUN
29%
21%
49%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 1
PAG
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Broadbridge Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HAS
1 - 5
BRO
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 3
HAY
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BRO
3 - 1
RAY
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HAS
2 - 1
BRO
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
PUN
0 - 1
BRO
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |